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-->Full explanation of our college football ratings
2015 College Football Ratings Summary
College Conference W L P-Rank P-Rating R-Rank R-Rating CFP Rank AP Rank
OklahomaBig 1291127.31215.177
AlabamaSEC91224.7519.623
BaylorBig 1271324.32012.01010
ClemsonACC90423.4122.911
Ohio StateBig Ten100521.0619.532
North CarolinaACC71619.12410.91712
Notre DameIndependent91718.9420.545
USCPac 1273818.2269.82422
StanfordPac 1282918.01413.81115
Oklahoma StateBig 12901017.8322.264
FloridaSEC911117.2817.588
TennesseeSEC541216.7377.2
MississippiSEC631316.22111.62225
Florida StateACC821416.0328.81416
Texas ChristianBig 12811515.8916.81811
MichiganBig Ten821615.81912.51214
LSUSEC721715.31513.61517
Mississippi StateSEC631815.2309.0
UtahPac 12821914.51712.81318
GeorgiaSEC632013.7338.5
West VirginiaBig 12442113.3406.5
ArkansasSEC542213.0318.9
UCLAPac 12732313.0386.9
HoustonAmerican Athletic902412.9719.01913
Michigan StateBig Ten912512.61115.299
IowaBig Ten902612.6222.956
OregonPac 12632712.42510.82323
WisconsinBig Ten822812.32211.12521
WashingtonPac 12362911.568-0.2
Texas A&MSEC633011.1357.7
CaliforniaPac 12543110.6396.8
NavyAmerican Athletic713210.41016.51619
PittsburghACC633310.0289.3
AuburnSEC453410.0483.5
MemphisAmerican Athletic72359.51314.721
Georgia TechACC27369.291-6.4
North Carolina StateACC54379.0601.2
Texas TechBig 1255388.9444.6
Bowling Green StateMid-American82398.8299.0
Washington StatePac 1272408.71812.524
Boise StateMountain West63418.5650.3
Virginia TechACC45428.473-1.5
LouisvilleACC54438.0493.3
Arizona StatePac 1245447.6532.3
NebraskaBig Ten56457.1611.0
Penn StateBig Ten73466.2347.9
ToledoMid-American81475.72311.0
Brigham YoungIndependent63485.5416.5
Western KentuckyConference USA82494.9367.5
TempleAmerican Athletic82504.6279.7
DukeACC54514.4630.7
CincinnatiAmerican Athletic54524.2503.2
MissouriSEC45534.2551.9
South CarolinaSEC37544.175-2.5
Kansas StateBig 1226553.980-3.4
Louisiana TechConference USA63563.8571.7
TexasBig 1246573.4591.2
South FloridaAmerican Athletic54583.0464.1
Miami (Fla.)ACC54592.9434.6
ArizonaPac 1255602.6541.9
NorthwesternBig Ten72612.51613.62020
Appalachian StateSun Belt72622.0426.1
Utah StateMountain West45632.082-3.5
MarshallConference USA82641.7522.8
VirginiaACC27651.690-6.4
Northern IllinoisMid-American63661.5512.9
VanderbiltSEC36671.270-0.7
San Diego StateMountain West63681.1620.7
IllinoisBig Ten45690.9561.7
Western MichiganMid-American54700.7581.7
KentuckySEC36710.276-2.6
Iowa StateBig 1227720.077-2.7
MinnesotaBig Ten46730.067-0.1
Air ForceMountain West6374-0.1640.5
Central MichiganMid-American4575-0.1660.2
Boston CollegeACC1776-0.1107-12.3
East CarolinaAmerican Athletic3677-0.678-3.0
Southern MississippiConference USA6378-0.769-0.3
IndianaBig Ten3679-0.874-2.0
Georgia SouthernSun Belt6280-0.8474.0
SyracuseACC2781-1.392-6.5
MarylandBig Ten1882-1.688-5.5
ColoradoPac 123783-3.695-8.4
Wake ForestACC2784-4.2101-10.4
Middle Tennessee StateConference USA4585-4.579-3.1
ConnecticutAmerican Athletic4586-4.981-3.4
Arkansas StateSun Belt6387-5.2454.4
TulsaAmerican Athletic5588-6.572-1.5
PurdueBig Ten1889-7.0102-10.7
RutgersBig Ten2790-7.286-4.8
Colorado StateMountain West4591-7.593-7.7
Oregon StatePac 121892-8.9106-11.6
San Jose StateMountain West3693-9.296-8.6
Ohio U.Mid-American5494-10.071-1.1
NevadaMountain West5495-10.289-5.7
BuffaloMid-American4596-10.387-4.9
AkronMid-American4597-10.885-4.7
TroySun Belt2798-12.0113-13.5
New MexicoMountain West5499-12.783-3.8
Florida InternationalConference USA46100-12.9100-10.4
Nevada-Las VegasMountain West27101-13.3109-12.5
ArmyIndependent17102-14.6124-18.8
Louisiana-LafayetteSun Belt35103-14.697-8.9
Ball StateMid-American27104-15.2110-12.6
Southern MethodistAmerican Athletic18105-15.5111-13.0
MassachusettsMid-American28106-16.1116-15.2
Florida AtlanticConference USA28107-16.1117-15.5
KansasBig 1209108-17.0115-15.1
Texas-San AntonioConference USA28109-17.3114-15.0
Central FloridaAmerican Athletic09110-17.4126-20.5
TulaneAmerican Athletic27111-17.5103-11.2
Fresno StateMountain West27112-17.8108-12.5
South AlabamaSun Belt44113-18.284-4.6
Georgia StateSun Belt35114-18.799-10.3
WyomingMountain West19115-18.9123-18.7
RiceConference USA36116-19.998-9.7
Kent StateMid-American27117-20.5105-11.6
IdahoSun Belt27118-21.9112-13.0
Texas StateSun Belt17119-22.1120-16.6
HawaiiMountain West19120-22.2121-17.3
North TexasConference USA18121-22.5119-15.9
Old DominionConference USA45122-22.994-8.0
Miami (Ohio)Mid-American19123-23.0122-18.6
Texas-El PasoConference USA36124-24.3104-11.5
Louisiana-MonroeSun Belt09125-25.1127-20.5
New Mexico StateSun Belt27126-26.0118-15.6
Eastern MichiganMid-American110127-26.2128-23.8
North Carolina-CharlotteConference USA18128-29.2125-19.0

College sports ratings use a somewhat less sophisticated version of the NFL model that does not use individual play data. Final scores and game location are the only data used. Unlike BCS computer ratings, point difference is factored rather than simply the outcome of the game. Instead of adjusting ratings for repeatability, both teams in each game are given equal responsibility for the result. Each team is assigned a normal probability distribution for quality such that the most likely scenario considering all games at once is optimized. In doing so, home field advantage is factored where applicable and strength of schedule is automatically accounted for. After 1 game, a team's rating will simply be their net points divided by 2. Past the first game, relative strength of opponents and how far a result is from the expected result begin to factor in. Like the NFL ratings, the first few weeks' ratings are unreliable but quickly become increasingly accurate thereafter. Subtracting one team's rating from another's will give an expected point spread should they play at a neutral site.