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-->Full explanation of our college football ratings
2015 College Football Ratings Summary
College Conference W L P-Rank P-Rating R-Rank R-Rating CFP Rank AP Rank
OklahomaBig 12111128.3419.533
AlabamaSEC101225.1321.022
BaylorBig 1282323.81314.91212
ClemsonACC110422.2223.811
Ohio StateBig Ten111521.9618.566
North CarolinaACC91619.21813.2108
Florida StateACC92718.62212.4910
MississippiSEC83818.11514.51316
StanfordPac 12102917.9817.377
Notre DameIndependent1021017.8718.489
USCPac 12841117.62710.42024
Texas ChristianBig 12921217.61016.41111
TennesseeSEC741316.7309.125
Michigan StateBig Ten1111415.7519.555
West VirginiaBig 12641515.6417.3
WashingtonPac 12561615.2533.1
Oklahoma StateBig 12921714.91115.31714
LSUSEC831814.71913.12123
MichiganBig Ten931914.41713.41519
Mississippi StateSEC742014.2299.5
ArkansasSEC652114.0358.2
OregonPac 12832213.32013.11615
FloridaSEC1022313.21614.41818
IowaBig Ten1102412.8124.144
UCLAPac 12842512.8348.4
GeorgiaSEC832612.5289.9
UtahPac 12932712.32410.92421
HoustonAmerican Athletic1012812.11414.81917
Texas A&MSEC742912.0378.1
WisconsinBig Ten933011.02610.625
MemphisAmerican Athletic833110.52112.8
CaliforniaPac 12653210.2397.5
NavyAmerican Athletic823310.11215.02322
PittsburghACC74349.5368.2
Texas TechBig 1265359.1446.0
Virginia TechACC56369.074-1.0
North Carolina StateACC65378.9660.5
AuburnSEC56388.8513.4
Western KentuckyConference USA102398.7329.1
Bowling Green StateMid-American93408.5407.4
Arizona StatePac 1256418.5523.1
LouisvilleACC65428.5503.5
Brigham YoungIndependent83437.8388.0
South FloridaAmerican Athletic74447.7426.5
Washington StatePac 1283457.42510.9
Boise StateMountain West74467.4670.1
Georgia TechACC29477.391-7.2
NebraskaBig Ten57487.3581.4
TempleAmerican Athletic102496.42312.42220
ToledoMid-American92506.3319.1
Miami (Fla.)ACC74515.6338.6
DukeACC65524.170-0.3
Penn StateBig Ten75534.1456.0
NorthwesternBig Ten92544.1916.81413
South CarolinaSEC38553.980-3.0
Kansas StateBig 1246563.873-0.9
TexasBig 1247573.271-0.4
MissouriSEC47582.7680.0
CincinnatiAmerican Athletic65592.5464.5
San Diego StateMountain West83602.4561.8
Appalachian StateSun Belt82612.4436.2
VirginiaACC38622.286-5.7
IndianaBig Ten56632.2610.9
Western MichiganMid-American65642.1483.9
Southern MississippiConference USA83652.0542.7
ArizonaPac 1256661.9640.7
Georgia SouthernSun Belt73671.9493.8
Boston CollegeACC19681.3111-13.9
MarshallConference USA83691.1552.3
East CarolinaAmerican Athletic47701.079-3.0
MinnesotaBig Ten57710.5620.8
Northern IllinoisMid-American74720.3591.3
IllinoisBig Ten4773-0.172-0.7
Iowa StateBig 122974-0.287-5.7
Utah StateMountain West5675-0.481-3.1
KentuckySEC4776-0.484-4.5
Air ForceMountain West7477-0.4601.2
VanderbiltSEC3878-0.677-2.7
SyracuseACC3879-0.789-6.3
Louisiana TechConference USA7480-0.9630.7
Central MichiganMid-American6581-2.0650.6
Middle Tennessee StateConference USA6582-2.376-2.0
MarylandBig Ten2983-2.385-4.5
Wake ForestACC2984-3.1102-11.7
ColoradoPac 123985-3.594-8.4
ConnecticutAmerican Athletic5686-4.569-0.2
Arkansas StateSun Belt7387-4.6474.2
TulsaAmerican Athletic6688-7.175-1.2
RutgersBig Ten3889-7.288-6.2
PurdueBig Ten11090-7.5103-12.1
Ohio U.Mid-American7491-7.8571.5
Colorado StateMountain West6592-7.983-4.2
AkronMid-American6593-8.978-2.8
San Jose StateMountain West4794-9.096-9.3
NevadaMountain West5695-10.093-8.3
Oregon StatePac 1211096-10.0106-12.9
New MexicoMountain West6597-11.882-4.1
BuffaloMid-American4798-12.595-8.8
TroySun Belt2899-12.8115-14.9
Florida AtlanticConference USA39100-14.0107-13.2
ArmyIndependent18101-15.3125-20.8
Florida InternationalConference USA47102-15.899-10.8
Southern MethodistAmerican Athletic29103-16.0100-11.1
Louisiana-LafayetteSun Belt37104-16.2105-12.4
MassachusettsMid-American39105-16.3113-14.6
Nevada-Las VegasMountain West29106-16.4118-15.8
Ball StateMid-American29107-16.6108-13.2
Georgia StateSun Belt55108-17.092-8.0
WyomingMountain West29109-18.5119-16.6
Fresno StateMountain West29110-18.9116-15.0
Texas-San AntonioConference USA39111-19.1112-14.2
KansasBig 12011112-19.5121-17.7
RiceConference USA47113-19.698-10.8
TulaneAmerican Athletic29114-19.8114-14.8
South AlabamaSun Belt46115-20.090-7.1
IdahoSun Belt38116-20.4104-12.3
Kent StateMid-American29117-20.6110-13.6
Central FloridaAmerican Athletic011118-21.0126-22.1
Texas StateSun Belt28119-21.2120-16.8
Miami (Ohio)Mid-American29120-21.4117-15.5
Texas-El PasoConference USA47121-22.197-10.7
Old DominionConference USA47122-22.3101-11.2
HawaiiMountain West210123-23.5123-18.6
North TexasConference USA110124-23.8122-18.3
Eastern MichiganMid-American111125-24.6127-23.7
New Mexico StateSun Belt38126-24.7109-13.2
Louisiana-MonroeSun Belt011127-25.1128-24.8
North Carolina-CharlotteConference USA110128-30.5124-19.4

College sports ratings use a somewhat less sophisticated version of the NFL model that does not use individual play data. Final scores and game location are the only data used. Unlike BCS computer ratings, point difference is factored rather than simply the outcome of the game. Instead of adjusting ratings for repeatability, both teams in each game are given equal responsibility for the result. Each team is assigned a normal probability distribution for quality such that the most likely scenario considering all games at once is optimized. In doing so, home field advantage is factored where applicable and strength of schedule is automatically accounted for. After 1 game, a team's rating will simply be their net points divided by 2. Past the first game, relative strength of opponents and how far a result is from the expected result begin to factor in. Like the NFL ratings, the first few weeks' ratings are unreliable but quickly become increasingly accurate thereafter. Subtracting one team's rating from another's will give an expected point spread should they play at a neutral site.