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-->Full explanation of our college football ratings
2015 College Football Ratings Summary
College Conference W L P-Rank P-Rating R-Rank R-Rating CFP Rank AP Rank
MississippiSEC20125.7612.03
AlabamaSEC21224.2365.612
GeorgiaSEC30323.6179.87
LSUSEC20422.0512.08
Ohio StateBig Ten30521.4213.61
Notre DameIndependent30619.81211.16
BaylorBig 1210719.5327.05
USCPac 1221819.267-0.419
Florida StateACC30918.4228.610
UCLAPac 12301017.4811.59
West VirginiaBig 12101117.1355.8
Texas A&MSEC301216.7911.314
OklahomaBig 12301316.5312.815
StanfordPac 12211416.0346.321
Georgia TechACC111515.9650.120
OregonPac 12111615.6541.113
Mississippi StateSEC111715.2462.9
ClemsonACC201815.1317.111
TennesseeSEC111914.9491.9
Oklahoma StateBig 12202014.7307.324
AuburnSEC112113.8580.8
WisconsinBig Ten212213.7640.422
NebraskaBig Ten122313.178-2.2
Miami (Fla.)ACC202412.8267.5
Texas ChristianBig 12202512.71410.74
Texas TechBig 12202612.6199.0
FloridaSEC302712.3711.8
Michigan StateBig Ten302812.11011.12
Brigham YoungIndependent212911.3287.322
Virginia TechACC113010.8600.7
North CarolinaACC113110.781-2.6
NorthwesternBig Ten203210.1412.617
Kansas StateBig 1220339.9297.3
MichiganBig Ten21349.4423.9
WashingtonPac 1211359.375-1.6
UtahPac 1230369.11111.118
CaliforniaPac 1220378.5209.0
ArizonaPac 1220388.2277.416
North Carolina StateACC20397.41610.2
Arizona StatePac 1211407.169-0.5
MemphisAmerican Athletic20416.91310.8
South CarolinaSEC12426.776-1.8
ArkansasSEC12436.484-3.6
VirginiaACC02446.494-5.9
LouisvilleACC03456.4125-12.1
IowaBig Ten20466.1189.7
Boise StateMountain West11475.7521.5
KentuckySEC21485.5384.8
PittsburghACC11494.9472.2
DukeACC11504.7620.5
Penn StateBig Ten21514.3374.9
TexasBig 1212524.072-1.4
MissouriSEC20533.9238.625
HoustonAmerican Athletic10543.5394.4
Boston CollegeACC01552.591-5.5
Louisiana TechConference USA02562.295-6.6
Middle Tennessee StateConference USA11572.0501.8
IllinoisBig Ten11581.583-3.3
TempleAmerican Athletic30591.3113.6
IndianaBig Ten20600.81510.6
ToledoMid-American20610.8218.7
NavyAmerican Athletic10620.5404.2
Washington StatePac 122063-0.1336.6
MarshallConference USA1164-0.270-0.6
VanderbiltSEC0265-0.5112-9.3
Western KentuckyConference USA2166-0.6414.0
MinnesotaBig Ten2167-0.7511.6
ColoradoPac 122168-0.7531.3
SyracuseACC2069-1.1257.9
Northern IllinoisMid-American1170-1.5570.9
MarylandBig Ten1171-2.390-5.4
Bowling Green StateMid-American1272-2.780-2.4
Oregon StatePac 121173-3.073-1.4
Utah StateMountain West0274-3.2103-7.6
Air ForceMountain West1175-3.5630.4
RutgersBig Ten0276-4.2104-8.2
Central FloridaAmerican Athletic0277-4.2111-9.2
Louisiana-LafayetteSun Belt0178-4.387-4.5
East CarolinaAmerican Athletic0279-4.492-5.8
CincinnatiAmerican Athletic1180-4.5590.8
Iowa StateBig 120281-4.898-6.7
Colorado StateMountain West0282-4.9123-11.0
TulsaAmerican Athletic2183-5.2443.5
Central MichiganMid-American0284-5.2102-7.5
South FloridaAmerican Athletic0285-5.5110-9.1
Ohio U.Mid-American2086-5.6248.5
Wake ForestACC1187-5.9551.1
RiceConference USA1188-6.077-1.9
BuffaloMid-American1189-7.0660.0
NevadaMountain West0290-7.299-6.9
PurdueBig Ten0291-7.8122-10.9
Georgia SouthernSun Belt1192-8.071-0.6
Florida InternationalConference USA1193-8.2482.2
ConnecticutAmerican Athletic1194-8.468-0.5
HawaiiMountain West1195-8.5433.9
Southern MississippiConference USA1196-8.979-2.2
Ball StateMid-American1197-9.5453.1
KansasBig 120198-10.989-4.8
Arkansas StateSun Belt0299-11.2108-8.8
Western MichiganMid-American02100-11.4105-8.4
San Diego StateMountain West02101-11.5117-10.1
Southern MethodistAmerican Athletic12102-11.686-4.4
Louisiana-MonroeSun Belt01103-12.382-3.0
South AlabamaSun Belt11104-12.574-1.5
Fresno StateMountain West02105-12.893-5.8
Appalachian StateSun Belt01106-13.085-3.8
Florida AtlanticConference USA03107-13.1124-12.0
ArmyIndependent02108-13.3120-10.8
Nevada-Las VegasMountain West03109-13.5114-9.5
San Jose StateMountain West02110-14.4113-9.3
Texas StateSun Belt02111-14.4118-10.4
TroySun Belt02112-15.0100-7.1
Old DominionConference USA11113-15.9561.0
AkronMid-American02114-16.0106-8.5
New MexicoMountain West02115-16.5116-10.1
Texas-San AntonioConference USA03116-16.5107-8.7
MassachusettsMid-American02117-17.0101-7.4
Eastern MichiganMid-American12118-18.297-6.6
Kent StateMid-American02119-18.9115-9.6
North TexasConference USA02120-19.4127-12.5
WyomingMountain West02121-19.5126-12.2
Miami (Ohio)Mid-American02122-20.1119-10.7
TulaneAmerican Athletic02123-20.6121-10.8
Texas-El PasoConference USA12124-20.788-4.7
IdahoSun Belt02125-22.9109-8.8
Georgia StateSun Belt12126-23.396-6.6
New Mexico StateSun Belt03127-26.0128-15.8
North Carolina-CharlotteConference USA11128-30.0610.6

College sports ratings use a somewhat less sophisticated version of the NFL model that does not use individual play data. Final scores and game location are the only data used. Unlike BCS computer ratings, point difference is factored rather than simply the outcome of the game. Instead of adjusting ratings for repeatability, both teams in each game are given equal responsibility for the result. Each team is assigned a normal probability distribution for quality such that the most likely scenario considering all games at once is optimized. In doing so, home field advantage is factored where applicable and strength of schedule is automatically accounted for. After 1 game, a team's rating will simply be their net points divided by 2. Past the first game, relative strength of opponents and how far a result is from the expected result begin to factor in. Like the NFL ratings, the first few weeks' ratings are unreliable but quickly become increasingly accurate thereafter. Subtracting one team's rating from another's will give an expected point spread should they play at a neutral site.