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| ARTICLES | TEAMS | STATS | RATINGS | STANDINGS | GAMES | SCHEDULE | PLAYERS | METHOD | SPORTS | |
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Ratings work.
All stats and ratings are in terms of expected points added (EPA) per game, a measure of the overall advantage gained in net points.
Our stats measure how well a team has performed, while our ratings estimate how well a team should be expected to perform going forward.
| Upcoming Games | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game | Projections from Current Ratings | ||||||
| Wk | Away | Home | Spread | Aw % | Hm % | Aw Off | Hm Off |
| 22 | KC | PHI | 0.7 | 52.5% | 47.5% | 3.4 | 2.7 |
| 21 | SF | PHI | -3.2 | 38.3% | 61.7% | -1.6 | 1.6 |
| 21 | CIN | KC | -5.2 | 31.6% | 68.5% | 0.4 | 5.6 |
| 20 | JAC | KC | -9.3 | 19.3% | 80.7% | -4.1 | 5.2 |
| 20 | NYG | PHI | -8.3 | 22.0% | 78.0% | -3.2 | 5.2 |
| 20 | CIN | BUF | -4.6 | 33.4% | 66.6% | -0.2 | 4.4 |
| 20 | DAL | SF | -4.4 | 34.2% | 65.8% | -2.4 | 1.9 |
| 19 | SEA | SF | -6.6 | 27.1% | 72.9% | -3.1 | 3.4 |
| 19 | LAC | JAC | -1.8 | 43.3% | 56.7% | -1.4 | 0.4 |
| 19 | MIA | BUF | -12.7 | 12.0% | 88.0% | -7.6 | 5.0 |
| 19 | NYG | MIN | -7.3 | 25.1% | 74.9% | -3.3 | 4.0 |
| 19 | BAL | CIN | -4.7 | 33.1% | 66.9% | -3.6 | 1.1 |
| 19 | DAL | TB | -2.7 | 40.2% | 59.8% | -1.3 | 1.4 |
| Recent Articles |
|---|
| If 2021 Had 16 Games - 1/10/22 |
| Wk 18 Playoff Scenarios 2021 - 1/8/22 |
| Wk 17 Playoff Scenarios 2020 - 1/1/21 |
| Wk 17 Playoff Scenarios 2019 - 12/27/19 |
| 2 Week Playoff Scenarios 2019 - 12/21/19 |
| 3 Week Playoff Tiebreakers 2019 - 12/11/19 |
| NFL Injury Point Value - 6/18/19 |
| How Teams Value Draft Picks - 4/25/19 |
| Analyzing The Zion Injury - 3/21/19 |
| Week 17 Playoff Scenarios 2018 - 12/27/18 |
| Recent Results | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game | Score | Projections at Time of Game | EPA Results | ||||||||
| Wk | Away | Home | Away | Home | Spr | Aw % | Hm % | Aw Off | Hm Off | Aw Off | Hm Off |
| 22 | KC | PHI | % | % | |||||||
| 21 | SF | PHI | 7 | 31 | -4.5 | 34.0% | 66.0% | -2.0 | 2.4 | ||
| 21 | CIN | KC | 20 | 23 | -5.3 | 31.3% | 68.7% | -0.4 | 4.9 | ||
| 20 | JAC | KC | 20 | 27 | -10.5 | 16.6% | 83.5% | -3.7 | 6.8 | ||
| 20 | NYG | PHI | 7 | 38 | -9.3 | 19.4% | 80.6% | -3.6 | 5.7 | ||
| 20 | CIN | BUF | 27 | 10 | -5.1 | 31.9% | 68.1% | -0.5 | 4.6 | ||
| 20 | DAL | SF | 12 | 19 | -4.0 | 35.5% | 64.6% | -2.1 | 1.9 | ||
| 19 | SEA | SF | 23 | 41 | -6.8 | 26.4% | 73.6% | -3.7 | 3.1 | ||
| 19 | LAC | JAC | 30 | 31 | -1.1 | 46.1% | 53.9% | -1.2 | -0.2 | ||
| 19 | MIA | BUF | 31 | 34 | -12.6 | 12.1% | 87.9% | -7.5 | 5.1 | ||
| 19 | NYG | MIN | 31 | 24 | -6.8 | 26.6% | 73.4% | -2.8 | 4.0 | ||
| 19 | BAL | CIN | 17 | 24 | -5.7 | 29.8% | 70.2% | -4.7 | 1.0 | ||
| 19 | DAL | TB | 31 | 14 | -3.5 | 37.3% | 62.7% | -1.8 | 1.7 | ||
| Super Bowl Champ Odds | |
|---|---|
| - - AFC - - | - - NFC - - |
| 1. KC - 53% | 1. PHI - 47% |
| 2. BUF - 0% | 2. SF - 0% |
| 3. CIN - 0% | 3. MIN - 0% |
| 4. JAC - 0% | 4. TB - 0% |
| 5. LAC - 0% | 5. DAL - 0% |
| 6. BAL - 0% | 6. NYG - 0% |
| 7. MIA - 0% | 7. SEA - 0% |
| BUF | MIA | NE | NYJ | BAL | CIN | CLE | PIT | HOU | IND | JAC | TEN | DEN | KC | LV | LAC | |||||||||||||
| DAL | NYG | PHI | WAS | CHI | DET | GB | MIN | ATL | CAR | NO | TB | ARI | LAR | SF | SEA | |||||||||||||
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